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Tuesday, 9 August 2011

The PGA Championship

Well a decent set of football results with 2 of the 4 selections winning at 5.7 and 7.2 and the other two also both leading before going on to lose 3-2.

So lets hope that profitability can translate into the final golf major of the season, The PGA Championship.

Being played at on the Highlands Course at The Atlanta Athletic Club, the players will struggle in extremely hot, humid Atlanta conditions this week, and it may be worth looking at players that have succeeded in extreme heat before. The Championship was played at this course 10 years ago, when David Toms won by a shot from Phil Mickleson with a score of -15. Since then though, the course has undergone several changes to make things a bit more tricky.

The course has been lengthened by some 270 yards to a 7500 yard par 70. The greens have been changed to Bermuda grass, which should make them play fast and slick. The rough will be more penal and there are a few additional water hazards. The last four holes in particular should mean some fun and games. The 15th is a 260 yard par 3, the 16th is a difficult par 4, the 17th another par 3 protected by a lake and the 18th is a terror, a 507 yard par 4 that most will be more than happy to par at the weekend if leading.

Because the greens will be difficult to access from off the short stuff, driving accuracy is a must. The course will probably favour true ball strikers. The stats show 11 of the last 12 winners have been calendar year winners, and as always, players who win or even compete closely the week before a major don't always have the best records the following week.

Here are the Giant Guinea Pig's Selections for the week

Dustin Johnson has the long game to cover the course, and has shown enough in recent majors that he will win one. This PGA Championship course should suit him nicely, and he played well enough last week but missed a whole heap of putts that would have seen him much further up the board.

YE Yang famously became the first Asian male to win a major when he took this tournament down in 2009, and compatriot KJ Choi showed at the Players' Championship that he has the game to win the biggest events. The available 70/1 is huge for a player of his calibre. He perhaps hasnt shown his best form since the Players win, but he will be back to his best for this, and his magic with the irons will suit The Highlands Course down to the ground.

Peter Hanson has been exceptional this year, and he showed when competing and eventually finishing 7th at Congressional in the US Open both that he has the game to succeed at the very top and that this sort of track suits him down to the ground. He had a good run at Firestone last week, finishing 21st and can run into a place or better here.

Simon Dyson is turning into a very accomplished golfer, 9th in the Open he warmed up for this by finishing 33rd at Firestone. This was accomplished by three rounds in the 60s as recovery after an opening round 77. Dyson won the Irish Open two weeks ago, and has also recorded top 5 finishes in the BMW Championship, the Spanish and Sicilian Opens. Moreover, Dyson has a good record in this Championship, finishing 6th in 2007 and 12th last year. In his current form he cannot be ignored at 125/1.

KT Kim is one of the rising stars of the game and the talented Korean shot three rounds of 66 to finish T6 last week at the Bridgestone Invitational. Only a second round 72 stopped him from being right in contention. At 150/1 I dont mind taking a risk on Kim again.

SELECTIONS (all each way, 6 places)

2pts Dustin Johnson  @ 28/1 Totesport/Boyles
1pt KJ Choi @ 70/1 Boylesport 
1pt Peter Hanson  @ 100/1 Paddy Power 
1pt Simon Dyson  @ 125/1 PaddyPower 
1pt KT Kim  @ 150/1 Paddy Power

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