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Tuesday, 16 August 2011

Crazy Gang to Punish Pilgrims

I got it wrong yesterday and thought Citeh might be a bit rusteh, but they were simply stunning in the second half. I went to '98 Atletico v Santander match where Aguero scored a couple of beauties in a 4-1 win and have been following his progress since then but that was an outstanding debut. I was right about one thing in my preview, Etihad would be pleased with the association with what I thoguht would be the best match to watch of the weekend's fixtures.

Anyway, there's a few that scream value tonight. I would have liked to oppose Arsenal with their absences if they were playing against last year's Udinese side, but the prices look about right to me. Udinese will try and sit back, hitting Arsenal on the counter, which they are very good at, so it will be interesting to see if Arsenal's defence holds up. 1-1 or even 2-1 would be a pretty shaky result to take over there.

Domestically, there are a few selections.

3pts PlymouthWIMBLEDON @ 2.86. Plymouth were dismantled piece by piece by Rotherham and Le Fondre on Saturday, and they look a very inexperienced side. Carl Fletcher is out for tonight's game as well, which weakens them further. Meanwhile, Wimbledon have had a decent start to life, losing a little unluckily to Bristol Rovers in their season opener before getting underway with a win at the weekend. I expect the euphoria to continue tonight, and The Crazy Gang to inflict further grief on Plymouth fans.

3pts Crewe v Rotherham OVER 2.5 goals @ 1.84. Crewe have been overs 3/3 in their three matches so far, whilst Rotherham have been overs 2/3 times. Crewe are an inexperienced side filled with exciting attacking talents, but who are often let down by defensive lapses. Rotherham have Adam le Fondre, amongst others, and come off a 4-1 win (from 1-0 down) at Plymouth.

2pts BurtonPORT VALE @ 3.1 This is almost a derby, its about 20 minutes down the A50 from Stoke to Burton. Vale, fresh off a 3-1 win at Barnet, will be roared on by 2500 nutters tonight, and I expect them to come away with 3 points. The big question for me was whether Mickey Adams would be able to work his magic again this season? He had them top of the league last year when he left to go to Sheff Utd, and the team is virtually the same, but there is boardroom unrest this year that could have undermined his efforts. In Gary Roberts they have one of the best midfielders around, and it looks like Adams has him firing, and I cant see Vale being available at 3.1, whoever they play, many times this season.

1pt CRYSTAL PALACE v Coventry @ 2.14. The Sky Blues seem so low key this year that you could be forgiven for thinking they are almost down already. Palace, on the other hand, seem to be making slow and steady strides away from the relegation fodder they were early last season. Palace have a few missing tonight, but not as many as Coventry, who surely cant expect much from tonight other than to keep it tight for as long as they can.

3pts Plymouth v WIMBLEDON @ 2.86 (19/10) Betfair
3pts Crewe v Rotherham Over 2.5 @ 1.84 (17/20) Betfair
2pts Burton v PORT VALE @ 3.1 (21/10) Betfair
1pt CRYSTAL PALACE v Coventry @ 2.14 (23/20) Betfair
1pt treble - Wimbledon, Port Vale, Crewe v Rotherham +2.5 goals @ 14.33 (13/1) Betfair

Total staked = 10pts

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