Stan James quote of 12/1 for Ian Bell to top score in Wednesday's 4th ODI at Trent Bridge looks very tempting. After much wringing of hands and searching of souls, there is a possibility of changes to England's lineup today.
This could see Finn come in for Dernbach or less likely on his home ground, Broad. With strike rates being negatively compared with Sri Lanka's and Cook safe as captain, Trott is also under pressure despite a very impressive ODI average. If he misses out this could mean Ian Bell is moved up to 5, or possibly 4. Bell has played reasonably well so far, but coming in with the tail, has often been forced into uncharacteristically aggressive slog shots to salvage increasingly desperate situations. This is not making best use Bell's ability to rotate the strike, find the gaps and nullify some of Sri Lanka's multitude of slower bowling options, and Bell's average when batting at 6 in ODIs of just over 19 reflects this.
At worst, this is a decent punt at a longish price if Bell comes in at 6 but if he is moved up it could look a very nice price.
This guinea pig is also interested in the price of Jimmy Anderson to be England's top bowler at 3/1 or better. We normally see lateral movement through the air at Trent Bridge, and with the cloud cover we will have this afternoon we should expect swing. This means Jimmy will be have his optimum bowling conditions, and he is the best on the planet in his conditions.
Selections
1pt Ian Bell top England bat 12/1 Stan James
1pt James Anderson top wicket taker 3/1 general
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